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U.S. Weather Forecaster Predicts El Niño to Persist, Transition to ENSO-Neutral Likely by Mid-2024

11 Jan 2024 9:43 pm
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Mumbai, 11 Jan (Commoditiescontrol): The U.S. government's leading weather forecasting agency announced on Thursday that the El Niño phenomenon is expected to continue influencing global weather patterns for several more seasons. According to the latest reports, there is a 73% likelihood that the current El Niño phase will transition to an ENSO-neutral state during the April-June period of 2024.
El Niño, a part of the larger El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate pattern, is characterized by the warming of ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. This warming has significant impacts on weather patterns across the globe, often leading to extreme weather events such as droughts, floods, and changes in rainfall patterns.

The persistence of El Niño into the upcoming seasons could have far-reaching implications for agriculture, water resources, and disaster preparedness in various parts of the world. Countries typically affected by El Niño may experience altered rainfall patterns, affecting crop yields and water supply. Moreover, regions prone to hurricanes and typhoons might see changes in storm frequencies and intensities.

However, the forecasted transition to an ENSO-neutral state by mid-2024 brings a ray of hope. An ENSO-neutral phase indicates that neither El Niño nor its counterpart, La Niña, which is characterized by cooler ocean temperatures, is present. This transition could lead to more stable and predictable weather patterns, albeit temporarily, until the next phase of the ENSO cycle begins.

(By Commoditiescontrol Bureau; +91-9820130172)


       
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